China’s college graduates to hit record high 11.79 million in 2024, adding to job market pressure

China’s college graduates exceeded 10 million for the first time in 2022.

The jobless rate for the 16 to 24 age group has remained at elevated level, hitting a record high of 21.3 per cent in June before Beijing suspended the release of the data, citing the need to further improve and optimise the survey.

“Companies will inevitably scale back their hiring needs, to reduce employment costs under the current economic uncertainties, especially the young inexperienced college graduates,” said Mao Yufei, an associate researcher with the China Institute for Employment Research.

And at a time when the services sector is facing various headwinds, and while factories are short of labour, young people generally prefer white-collar jobs over blue-collar, with this structural imbalance exacerbating the employment problems, Mao added.

Colleges should, according to Mao, fully utilise the internet to provide graduates with updated job information and build more platforms to provide career planning courses.

We need a more predictable, stable policy environment, and also we need them to remove these policy distortions.

Haibin Zhu

Apart from bolstering advanced and hi-tech sectors, Beijing should also increase efforts to revitalise the private sector to release the potential of new jobs, Haibin Zhu, chief china economist and head of Greater China economic research at JPMorgan, said last week.

“Actually the most important, or number one policy action is to restore the confidence among the small and medium-sized enterprises sector,” said Zhu.

“It is not necessary about fiscal support, but more about the transparent and predictable policy environment.

“We have seen a lot of the policy swings in recent years, so we need a more predictable, stable policy environment, and also we need them to remove these policy distortions.”

China’s education ministry has introduced 26 measures to boost the employment and entrepreneurship for college graduates in 2024, asking local governments to make early examination arrangements for public sector work and explore suitable job possibilities in underdeveloped regions.

It also encouraged college graduates to utilise the emerging market needs from internet platforms to seek entrepreneurship or flexible employment.

The ministry also asked universities to employ staff specialising in employment counselling, while also requiring university staff to conduct more visits to companies to assess the needs of the job market.

South China Morning Post

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