China and Hong Kong Stocks Slump as Economic Gloom Spreads

About three weeks ago, at a meeting chaired by Xi Jinping, China’s leader, officials acknowledged that China’s economy was facing “new difficulties and challenges.” According to the official Xinhua News Agency’s summary of the Politburo meeting, officials promised to juice the economy, which had started to rebound at the start of the year after Covid restrictions were lifted but had been struggling. The economic troubles, they said, arose from flagging domestic demand and a “grim and complex” global economy, among other factors. Chinese stocks jumped at the time, even though…

China’s economic problems show things are seriously amiss | George Magnus

At a Politburo meeting last month, China’s leaders referred to the economic recovery this year as “torturous”. You won’t often hear such candour coming from a Chinese Communist party institution, let alone such an elevated body. They were referring to current conditions, of course, but China’s problems reveal much that is systemically out of kilter in its economic and political system. During the past few days, some of the statistics China has published have caused a stir. Consumer prices in July were lower than a year ago, suggesting it might…

Biden’s China investment ban: who’s targeted and what does it mean for the 2024 US election?

Joe Biden has moved to restrict US investment in Chinese technology, signing an executive order which focuses on a few, sensitive hi-tech sectors including semiconductors, quantum computing and artificial intelligence (AI). It is the latest in a series of measures taken by the US to restrict China’s access to the most advanced technology and comes as the president has embarked on a multi-state tour of the south-west to tout his plans to revive American manufacturing after decades of decline. The restrictions are expected to take effect next year – and…

In previous downturns the world turned to China as an engine of growth – this time that driver may not be there

When Australia’s central bank released its quarterly economic update last week, China’s “uncertain” economic outlook topped a list of domestic worries for Australia. The International Monetary Fund too singled out China in its latest world economic outlook as among the “downside” tilts to its balance of risks. The recovery of the world’s second-biggest economy from the Covid pandemic was faltering, “with cross-border spillovers” likely if it slowed, the IMF said. Wednesday brought further confirmation of China’s disappointing performance as the economy slipped into deflation for the first time since late…

Italy approves 40% windfall tax on banks; China’s trade slumps – business live

From 1h ago Italy approves 40% windfall tax on banks The Italian government is hitting the country’s banks with a new windfall tax, to help families through the cost of living squeeze. Italy’s cabinet yesterday approved a 40% “windfall tax” on bank profits this year, with the proceeds earmarked to help mortgage holders and cut taxes. Deputy prime minister Matteo Salvini told a news conference that the levy will hit the profits reaped from higher interest rates: “One only has to look at the banks’ first-half 2023 profits, also the…

China’s sudden economic slowdown is worrying. But it doesn’t have to be all bad news for Australia | John Quiggin

After two decades of stunning economic growth, evidence of a slowdown in China is naturally a cause for concern. The evidence, unfortunately, is not hard to find. China’s estimated annual rate of GDP growth is slowing and looks to be stabilising at around 4%, only a couple of percentage points higher than that of rich countries in the OECD. At this rate it will take many decades before income per person in China catches up with that of other leading economies. High youth unemployment is another symptom of a slowdown,…

China GDP growth falls short of expectations as sinking property prices hit economy

China’s economy expanded 6.3% in the second quarter, falling short of market expectations as export demand remained tepid and sinking property prices sapped consumer confidence. Compared with a year earlier, China’s GDP in the April-June period was 6.3% larger, the national bureau of statistics said on Monday, quickening from the 4.5% annual growth pace for the first three months of 2023. Economists had forecast growth to accelerate to 7.3%, according to a Reuters survey. For the June quarter alone, growth slowed to 0.8% from a 2.2% quarter-on-quarter clip in the…

Economic ‘headwinds’ lead IEA to cut global oil demand forecast

Global oil demand will reach an all-time high this year, but “persistent macroeconomic headwinds” mean it will not grow as quickly as had previously been expected, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has said. The Paris-based global energy watchdog said that demand was expected to rise by 2.2m barrels a day in 2023, leading to an average of 102.1m barrels a day. But that prediction is 220,000 barrels a day lower than its previous expectations – the first time the agency has lowered its forecast for growth this year. China, boosted…

International Energy Agency warns of higher bills this winter

The head of the International Energy Agency has said energy prices may spike again this winter, forcing government to subsidise bills – just days after state support for UK households fell away. Fatih Birol said a rapid improvement in the Chinese economy, coupled with a harsh winter, could put pressure on gas supplies and push up bills for consumers. He said the agency “cannot rule out” another spike in gas prices this winter, which would mirror last year when a surge in wholesale costs as a result of Russia’s invasion…

AstraZeneca considers spinning off its China business

AstraZeneca is considering spinning off its business in China and listing it in Hong Kong or Shanghai to shield the multinational drugmaker from geopolitical tensions. Britain’s largest stock-market-listed company has drawn up the plans in attempt to protect its business from the fallout from increasing tensions between China and the US and its allies. Executives at the Anglo-Swedish company have been discussing the move with bankers for several months, although it could still be abandoned, the Financial Times first reported. The spin-out would mean Astra separates its division in China…